船舶 ›› 2022, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (01): 1-18.DOI: 10.19423/j.cnki.31-1561/u.2022.01.001

• 特约综述 •    下一篇

2021年世界船舶市场评述与2022年展望

魏梅, 潘放, 汪颖异, 杜亮   

  1. 中国船舶及海洋工程设计研究院 上海 200011
  • 收稿日期:2022-01-10 修回日期:2022-01-28 发布日期:2022-03-17
  • 作者简介:魏 梅(1980-),女,硕士,工程师。研究方向:战略与装备体系研究。潘 放(1992-),男,硕士,工程师。研究方向:战略与装备体系研究。汪颖异(1993-),女,硕士,助理工程师。研究方向:战略与装备体系研究。杜 亮(1994-),男,硕士,助理工程师。研究方向:战略与装备体系研究。

Review of World Shipping Market in 2021 and Prospects in 2022

WEI Mei, PAN Fang, WANG Yingyi, DU Liang   

  1. Marine Design & Research Institute of China, Shanghai 200011, China
  • Received:2022-01-10 Revised:2022-01-28 Published:2022-03-17

摘要: 回顾了2021年世界经济、航运和造船市场,并对2022年船舶市场进行展望。2021年,伴随着疫情的发展,主要经济体推出的财政与货币政策在不同程度上助推了经济复苏,全球经济整体呈现反弹,国际海运贸易量也出现增长。航运各细分市场因供需情况不同而表现各异,散货市场强劲复苏,集运市场需求旺盛,海工市场表现良好,油运市场低迷。2021年国际新造船市场活跃,新船订单相比2020年增加超过80%,集装箱船和液化天然气船新订单量表现优异。展望2022年,高涨的基础建设需求和有限的船队运力将继续支撑散货船市场,全球石油供应的增加和需求提升使油运市场前景向好,集装箱船的订单量和交付量将继续保持高位,液化气运输船海运市场将继续保持高位周期性波动上涨,不同区域表现分化,海上油气生产持续复苏,绿色智能依旧是航运市场的两大热点。

关键词: 全球经济, 航运市场, 船舶订单, 交付量, 绿色, 智能

Abstract: This article reviews the world economy, shipping and shipbuilding market in 2021, and the prospects of the shipbuilding market in 2022. In 2021, with the development of COVID-19, the fiscal and monetary policies launched by the major economies boosted the economic recovery to varying degrees, and the global economy rebounded as a whole, resulting in the growth of the international maritime trade. Each segment of the shipping market performs differently due to the different supply and demand. The bulk cargo market recovered strongly, the container transportation market was in high demand, and the offshore engineering market performed well, however the oil shipping market was in a downturn. The international new shipbuilding market was active in 2021, with new ship orders increased by 80% compared with 2020, and the new orders of container ships and liquefied natural gas (LNG) ships performed well. Looking ahead to 2022, high infrastructure demand and limited fleet capacity will continue to support the bulk carrier market. The increase of the global oil supply and demand makes a positive oil market outlook. The orders and deliveries of the container vessels will continue to remain high. The liquefied gas carrier shipping market will continue to maintain a high cyclical fluctuations with the regional differentiation. The offshore oil and gas production will continue to recover. Green and intelligence are still the two hot issues in the shipping market.

Key words: global economy, shipping market, ship orders, delivery, green, intelligence

中图分类号: